Champions League

Europe’s elite vie for club football’s most coveted prize. Image:

The numbers don’t lie: Your Champions League winner is…

Opta stats analyse the UEFA Champions League race. Man City holds the edge, but rivals like Real Madrid and Arsenal pose a serious threat.

Champions League

Europe’s elite vie for club football’s most coveted prize. Image:

The UEFA Champions League is a battleground where Europe’s football elite vie for supremacy. With Opta’s detailed statistics, we can explore the chances of each remaining team in the 2023-24 season.

Manchester City: The Pinnacle of Precision

Manchester City, with a 32.30% chance of winning, are the epitome of consistency and skill. Their pass accumulation of 13 370 in 20 games, averaging 668.5 passes per match, showcases their dominance in possession. 

With Erling Haaland as their top scorer and a strong defensive record, City’s blend of tactical acumen and attacking prowess under Pep Guardiola makes them the favourites.

Real Madrid: The Spanish Maestros

Real Madrid, with a 16.87% chance of victory, are a blend of youth and experience. Jude Bellingham has become a pivotal figure, scoring at a rate comparable to Cristiano Ronaldo’s early days at the club. Alongside Rodrygo’s ascent in the goal-scoring charts, Madrid’s title race remains strong despite the absence of Karim Benzema.

Arsenal: The Resurgent Force

Arsenal’s 13.89% chance of winning the Champions League reflects their resurgence. Leading the Premier League with a record of 20-4-4 and 64 points, their performance has been nothing short of impressive. With a solid defence and a potent attack, the Gunners are a formidable opponent.

PSG: The Parisian Pursuit

Paris Saint-Germain, with an 11.89% chance, are on a quest for their first Champions League title. Their attacking line, featuring stars like Kylian Mbappé, makes them a threat in any competition. Despite their domestic dominance, the Champions League trophy remains the ultimate goal.

Bayern Munich: The German Juggernauts

Bayern Munich, with a 10.75% chance, are always in contention. Their history of success in Europe and a squad filled with world-class talent make them a team that can never be underestimated. Their ability to perform on the big stage could see them go far in the tournament.

Borussia Dortmund: The Yellow Wall

Borussia Dortmund, with a 5.62% chance, are known for their passionate support and attacking football. They have the potential to upset the odds and make a deep run in the competition. Their high-energy play and youthful squad can pose a challenge to any team.

Barcelona: The Catalonian Comeback

Barcelona’s 5.38% chance of winning the Champions League is a testament to their rebuilding efforts. With a mix of seasoned veterans and emerging talents, they aim to re-establish themselves as European heavyweights. Their progress in the competition will be closely watched.

Atletico Madrid: The Resolute Contenders

Atletico Madrid, with a 4.19% chance, is known for their resilience and tactical discipline under Diego Simeone. They have consistently proven to be a tough opponent in European competitions and could be a dark horse in this year’s Champions League


The UEFA Champions League 2023-24 final stages are shaping up to be a showcase of footballing excellence. With Manchester City leading the odds and teams like Real Madrid, Arsenal, PSG, and Bayern Munich in close pursuit, the stage is set for a thrilling contest. Opta’s statistics provide a clear picture of each team’s chances, but in the Champions League, anything can happen. As the competition unfolds, each match will be a testament to the drama and unpredictability that define this storied tournament.