Load shedding on MONDAY – Here is the updated schedule Photos: Stock/Canva
Eskom could be implementing Stage 11 load shedding this winter. Here is what Stage 11 load shedding would likely mean.
Load shedding on MONDAY – Here is the updated schedule Photos: Stock/Canva
Eskom could be implementing Stage 11 load shedding this winter.
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This is according to Virtual Energy and Power director Clyde Mallinson. He analysed historical winter load shedding data.
He said the power utility must lift the coal fleet’s capacity factor (CF) to at least 50%. This is if they want to prevent high levels of load-shedding over the winter months.
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“Load-shedding maximum and average monthly results based on coal fleet capacity factors as predicted for January and February,”
the caption accompanying his predictions on Twitter said.
In February 2022, he explained that Eskom’s coal generation fleet was so bad that less than 40% was operational.
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The frequency of load shedding increases as higher Stages are used.
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Load Shedding Stage: | Frequency | Total hours: |
Stage 1 | 01:00 – 03:30 | 3.5 hours |
Stage 2 | 01:00 – 03:30 | 3.5 hours |
Stage 3 | 01:00 – 03:30 AND 17:00 – 19:30 | 6 hours |
Stage 4 | 01:00 – 03:30 AND 09:00 – 11:30 AND 17:00 – 19:30 | 8.5 hours |
Stage 5 | 01:00 – 05:30 AND 09:00 – 11:30 AND 17:00 – 19:30 | 10.5 hours |
Stage 6 | 01:00 – 05:30 AND 09:00 – 11:30 AND 17:00 – 19:30 | 10.5 hours |
Stage 7 | 01:00 – 05:30 AND 09:00 – 11:30 AND 17:00 – 21:30 | 12.5 hours |
Stage 8 | 01:00 – 05:30 AND 09:00 – 11:30 AND 17:00 – 21:30 | 12.5 hours |
Stage 9 | 01:00 – 05:30 AND 09:00 – 15:30 AND 17:00 – 21:30 | 14.5 hours |
Stage 10 | 01:00 – 05:30 AND 09:00 – 15:30 AND 17:00 – 21:30 | 14.5 hours |
Stage 11 | 01:00 – 07:30 AND 09:00 – 15:30 AND 17:00 – 21:30 | 16.5 hours |
Stage 12 | 01:00 – 07:30 AND 09:00 – 15:30 AND 17:00 – 21:30 | 16.5 hours |
If the utility coal fleet’s CF increases to around 50%, Mallinson predicted that Eskom would implement a maximum of stage 6 load-shedding in June.
This comes after several people warned of intensified load-shedding over the winter season. These people include former Eskom CEO André de Ruyter, Intellidex capital markets head Peter Attard Montalto, and former Eskom executive Robbie van Heerden.
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