Photo: GCIS / Flickr
Trio crimes have increased significantly compared to the 2020/2021 crime stats but Bheki Cele says context is important…
Photo: GCIS / Flickr
While delivering the quarter 1 crime stats for 2021/2022 on Friday 20 August, Police Minister Bheki Cele, said trio crimes have increased compared to the “distorted” period of 2020/2021.
Trio Crimes increased compared to the distorted reporting period of 2020/2021 period, said Cele.
“Aggravated robberies such as Carjacking increased by 92.2% compared to the previous corresponding period. This figure would have increased by 13.1% if compared to the same period in 2019/2020,” said Cele.
There were also 1 340 more residential robberies in the month of April to June 2021, compared to the corresponding period in the previous financial year. Compared to the 2019/2020 financial year, there are 132 more cases recorded. Why is Cele comparing it to the stats from two years ago though?….He explained why.
Cele said although some of the figures from the recent crime stats look horrific, he said one cannot compare it to the previous period but should look back all the way to 2019.
“Fellow South Africans, the 1st Quarter of the 2020/21 financial year coincided with level 5 lockdown that kept almost everyone indoors and most businesses closed including taverns, liquor outlets, night clubs, sporting activities and places of entertainment which are generally attributors to causative factors of crime,” he said.
“The never seen before pleasant picture of last year was compared to a normal period of 2019 and hence the comparison was distorted and very skewed,” he added.
Cele said the double-figure eye-popping increase in most crime categories is informed by the same reasons stated above of adjusted lockdown levels and distorted crime trends.
Cele said in the first quarter, the sub-categories of crimes such as Contact crimes, Sexual offences, Aggravated robberies, Contact-related and Property-related crimes have recorded a never before seen double-digit increase.
“Ordinarily, this would have been catastrophic BUT I assure the nation, this is NOT the case. I repeat, we cannot compare the same period of this year and last year, due to the skewed and abnormal crime trends, caused by the different levels of Lockdown, if we are to understand this crime picture that we are presenting to you today,” he said.
“While we will not sweep the high and unnatural figures under the carpet, we will instead bring to the fore a holistic picture of comparing the 2021/22 Quarter one crime figures to a ‘normal period’ two years ago where there was no Lockdown,” he added.